I consider Rasmussen one of the very few polling agencies one can trust. Therefore, the events of the last week scared me not a little.
Rasmussen had Trump in front a couple of points before the “Pussy” tape. After the outrage of the weekend, Trump plunged up to seven points behind (they interview one third of the sample a day: therefore, it will need three days before a certain event is completely reflected in the polls). Trump rapidly recovered to only four point behind, then three. Today he is in front again.
What does this tell us? That even among the well-selected sample of Rasmussen, the combination of emotional news (He has said “pussy”! How lewd! My sons would never do that!”) and relentless MSM barrage (“this is the end then; he should retire his candidacy! He is finished! Finished, I tell you!”) had the effect of producing a big swing over a short period.
This is the scary part: some 8% or 9% of likely voters at least declare that they can be swayed the other way by something as irrelevantly stupid as what Trump says when he talks with his buddies in a relaxed, testosterone-laden atmosphere.
Add “eleven years ago”.
It boggles the mind that the destinies of the First Power are so easily swayed. Particularly when you think how massive the amplifying effect of the MSM can be in the short term. A stupid event like the video has gone around the planet in hours. The daily revelations about the evil inclination of close Clinton collaborators – very much representative of her own mindset – struggle to take traction, as the MSM downplay the many accusation moved to Crooked Hillary and Consort.
One has to be really afraid that the MSM will profit from every “revelation” (“Trump stole a child's ice cream in 1977! I saw him myself!!!”) to get into full hysteria mode just two days before the elections. In two or three days – and without an extremely good debate performance to counter the negative effect – how can this move I do not say 8% or 9% (no: what people say to pollster is one thing, hiw they vote a different matter) but perhaps half or even one third of those figures? How scary is that?
I am encouraged by the fact that these kind of “revelations” tend to make less impression when repeated, and new tapes might be discounted, perhaps even ignored.
But the thought is scary nevertheless.