It is revealing that in the middle if this electoral campaign, when polls are attentively followed and part of the political controversy, no one tells you an elementary truth: that even when the polls are done honestly, they become less and less reliable as the electorate becomes more and more unpredictable. Plus, the pollsters are reluctant in telling you today how utterly useless their polls of yesterday were.
Remember the Primary season? Every poll gave Trump as absolutely trounced by Crooked Dyke Hitlery Clinton for as long as Ted “Judas” Cruz was part of the race. As soon as Trump became the real, official alternative to Clinton, things began to change fast.
Every sound thinking person could have told you that this would happen, but the polls actually never did. It was mere sound reasoning, denied by the polls and confirmed by reality.
But the issue is a far more general one. The British electorate gives the Tories a stunning victory in 2015, a victory no one has seen coming in this way. Even more relevantly, the epochal meltdown of the LibFags was completely unexpected. All that polling showed a total inability to see even some vague trace of the earthquake that was preparing.
Then there is the Brexit saga. A pollster working for the Tories had given a last projection indicating “Remain” 10 (ten) points ahead. Cameron was told it might be better to go to bed early in order to be fresh and rosy the following morning when announcing his great victory to the breakfasting nation. We know how that went.
Does anyone remind you of that? Can we see, now, all the much-publicised polls giving Trump as a hopeless loser against Hitlery? What were they for, if not for demoralising the Trump followers and inducing them to pick another horse?
You know what? People don't care for polls anymore. They can follow them passionately as game, as entertainment. But they don't base their decision on what the polls say. The Trump followers will not stay at home even if every poll were to give Trump ten points behind. The Clinton followers are difficult to mobilise as it is, and this will be made only slightly more difficult if the polls give her three or more points ahead.
Reality will simply catch up with the polls, and very possibly show once again how unreliable they have become.
Particularly so, when they have political bias built in as a feature.
Posted on October 21, 2016, in Catholicism, Conservative Catholicism, Traditional Catholicism and tagged Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, us 2016 presidential election. Bookmark the permalink. 6 Comments.