Fake Talks
The “historic” talks between France and Ukraine are about to start, and I would like to make some reflections.
The first: I know, you know, and everybody knows that there will be no invasion and no war. You can’t invade a country made of 600,000 square kilometres and 40 million inhabitants with 100,000 solider, or with 150,000 come to that. I am sure Putin can easily win if he invades; but not with a pocket army. To me, the pocket army is a clear sign this is about sending a signal, not invading a country. It’s flexing one’s muscles, not preparing to throw a punch.
The second: what, exactly, can the EU put on the table? Sanctions, and that’s pretty much all there is. Hardly an existential threat for Putin. Besides, the game was tried after Crimea, and was a massive fail. The sanctions would damage the EU (and the US) as much as Russia. Probably more the EU than Russia, as Russia is far more resilient to economic crisis than the EU (hardened, though guys; no foreign debt; all the resources you want; so much nuclear weapons to make boullabaisse out of Europe ). Plus, the Germans would have to start buying blankets, because when Putin closes the tab that sends the natural gas they depend upon, it’s going be Scheisse without end.
Third: in which universe can a continent of people who locked themselves home because of a virus scare one of the toughest people on earth, leads by the toughest head of state in existence? The pictures of Macron sitting with Putin makes one smile, and pray for Macron’s physical integrity.
In short: I don’t think much will come out of it. The EU and NATO will have to accept the principle that Ukraine is off limits for them, thus giving Putin 100% of what he wanted. In turn, Putin will offer them a way to save face and go back to Brussels with a semblance of dignity.
Joe Biden will ask what is all about, will vaguely remember when he got the prosecutor fired, and then will forget everything again.
These “talks” seems fake news to me. They will end with the result everybody expected from day one, at the time both parties consider appropriate for their own purposes. When this time is, we will know at the appropriate juncture.
I’d say anywhere between tomorrow and the next four weeks, depending on how much traction the Winter Olympics take.
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Posted on February 7, 2022, in Traditional Catholicism. Bookmark the permalink. 9 Comments.
Mundabor's Blog 
M, I know some fundamentalist Protestants who believe Macron is a leading candidate for Antichrist. Whether you agree or disagree, it should be noted that he has a close relationship with Pope Francis, he’s in charge of the EU through July 1 and he has an arrogant, overbearing manner.
I don’t see what Macron gets out of negotiating over Ukraine in terms of domestic French politics, especially with a presidential election coming up. Since you live in Europe (I assume), you probably would know more about that than I would. I’m guessing that his negotiating role is as head of the EU.
One more point: I know you’ve said that Francis is too stupid to be the False Prophet of Revelation because too many people see through him. Those of us who do apparently aren’t afflicted with the “strong delusion” St. Paul wrote about in 2 Thessalonians. It seems that minds are becoming more reprobate by the hour, if not by the minute or the second, and those minds are in some pretty high places around the world in various sectors.
I always wonder whether Macron wanted to have sex with his mother. I am scared at the answer.
I’ve been listening to Putin lately. Lots of interviews with him online. He is the smartest, toughest and most classy world leader out there. Everyone else looks ridiculous or weak next to him. And if there is a leader who knows how to “flex” it is him…and he can back it up. God bless~
“a continent of people who locked themselves home because of a virus…” The Russia, too, had pretty strict sanitary measures like most European countries. Besides, it seems that it is Putin himself who is most scared of the virus, judging form the 6m long table between him and his interlocutors and very strict and humiliating sanitary requirements to which are subjected his bodyguards and aides.
Nobody is perfect.
This did not age well.
If you had given me your crystal ball, I would have written a different post.
No offense dear sir, you were just one of a very many who were quite certain Putin would not invade. Talks broke down when NATO and the west refused to say Ukraine would not be joining, I think. Then the idiot in the whitehouse sent intelligence to China, revealing that Ukraine indeed would become a member of NATO and they wanted China to do something about Putin because they wouldn’t, and China sent that on to Putin.
I was just thinking out loud when I commented. I love your blog and I agree with nearly every single thing you say. I myself did not think Putin wanted this to happen, I could be wrong of course. Again, no offense. Crystal balls are not of God:))
Thanks. I still can’t believe Putin attacked a 40m mouthful with 150-190k soldiers.
I think they are doing very fine, but to me it was certainly very unexpected.
I also agree that Ukraine’s refusal to say once and for all they would renounce to NATO is what forced the intervention.
Still, I think there’s more to it. I am about to post a very nice video.