The first hard numbers from Michigan are in, and they are very good.
I need to make two preliminary observations before getting into the numbers. One: you can expect the Dems to lead the early and mail vote, as their (generally) superior ground operation is better at “securing” the votes before the election day proper. Two: this is particularly true this year, as the Dems have been conditioned to believe that voting in person, or with crowds, is dangerous and are naturally motivated to vote early, or via mail, more than this happened in the past. Expect, as a rule, a stronger Democrat presence in the early vote this year than this was the case in 2020. Then the 3 November comes, and the cavalry (hopefully) changes the course of the battle.
In Michigan, there is a new element: the electoral law was changed, making it easier to vote earlier and via mail than it was before. If you listen to the MSM, this all but guarantees Biden a victory there, as the section of the Democrat electorate that normally can’t bother to haul their ass to the polling station will be motivated to vote, and give the victory to their half-dead, creepy, corrupt candidate.
So, the Dems felt very safe in Michigan. Then, the State of Michigan revealed that, as per yesterday, around 24% of the expected voters have already cast their ballot. This is a big percentage, but in line with what we have said before: Dem ground game, Virus fears and new electoral law all contribute to an increase in early and mail vote. And the result? Republican affiliated voters are more numerous than Democrat affiliated voters. The site TargetEarly2020 had the numbers, but no snippet because either the graphics seem not to work today (they did yesterday), or TargetEarly2020 have decided to ditch the official data altogether, in order to promote their own “modeled” prediction, which differs from the raw, official data and is, like all the rest of the polls, not fact but fiction (mind: it’s bad news for the Dems anyway..). [EDIT: Targetearly is affiliated with the Democrats. it might explain both their “modeled” prediction and the disappearance of the official data).
Still, the data is there and it is official: more Republican affiliated voters than Democrat affiliated voters had cast their vote early, as per official Saturday night data.
What does this mean? Does it mean that Democrats have suddenly decided to defy the Pandemic and go vote all together in November cold? Does it mean that Democrats plan to win with the independents? Does it mean that the new electoral law is proving a boon for the Republicans, who are now able to tap on a “distracted/formerly not interested/lazy Republican” clientele who did not vote before, but decided to profit from the new rules and vote early this time? Or does it, very simply, mean that the enthusiasm among Republicans in Michigan is through the roof, and this starts to reflect already in the early vote?
I think the first and second scenario are not realistic. If you ask me, we are seeing a mixture of the third and fourth one. This makes a victory in Michigan, whilst not assured – nothing is assured until the victory is in the bag – certainly more likely.
And in fact, let us reflect on the feelings of your average Michigander as the 2020 election is under way. Has Trump delivered on his promises? Check. Are the prospects for the economy good? Check. Is Trump the one generally considered to be more capable to deal with the economy than Barely Alive Joe? Check. Are the shocking Biden scandals going to help the Republicans? Check. Do the Republicans have an Incumbent running? Check.
Facts, common sense, and early vote data are all pointing in the same direction.
In Michigan, I think Biden has good reasons to be scared.
The Democratic Convention has, regrettably, come to an end, and with it the constant embarrassment for the Democrat Party and his pathetic ticket of losers.
- Bill Clinton told Trump how to behave in the Oval Office
- Hunter Biden vouched for his father’s integrity
- AOC endorsed… Bernie Sanders
- Kamala “Ho” Harris managed to make Hillary look pleasant.
- Michelle Obama complained about her life as “oppressed” in her $14,000,000 Martha’s Vineyard mansion
- Joe Biden managed to go on for an entire teleprompted speech without believing he is Mary Poppins and starting to sing “Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious”, failing miserably in the attempt.
No mention of:
- Around 900,000 babies killed every year in their mother’s womb, a disproportionate number of whom are, actually, Black.
- Riots eating out many Dem run cities in America.
- The total failure of cities like New York to manage the Chinese-Virus, actually helping the virus to spread among the most vulnerable, then blaming Trump for the mass killing they caused.
In the midst of this, the usual Marxist media have showered the old demented man with unprecedented praise, just for spouting platitudes for a while like he’s not demented. They don’t admit it, but they were actually terrified the man would put a huge nail in his campaign coffin with ten minutes of live performance. However, they now have the next problem, as it becomes absolutely mandatory to follow up and get into the lion’s cage (the lion has a blond mane) for three times, at one and a half hour a pop. He will be massacred if his brain manages to cope for the duration, he will be pulverised if he doesn’t.
Meanwhile, Trump is on par with Biden in Minnesota, without considering the obvious secret vote component and the likely vote manipulation of polling agencies terrified of being eaten alive by the angry Twitter mob. This means that he is on track to clean up there, and will likely fare very well in Michigan and Pennsylvania, too. Which means, in a word, R.I.P. Joe And The Hoe.
In other bad news for the Dems, Trump is sailing at 51% approval rate, increasing his approval during the days of the convention. This is astonishing, as you would normally see a boost for the party that is having, or has just had, its convention. In short, this means that the Democrat Convention was a good ad for Trump.
Still, you see a constant gaslighting. The Marxist Media hail as historic a speech that is notable only for Biden saying something stupid only once. The fake polls keep giving Biden an advantage that is a propaganda lie only a North Korean broadcaster could imagine. The press, almost to a man, pretends that this demented old man is not only mentally OK, but a formidable candidate.
It’s all in vain. Trump keeps solidifying his position as the man for law and order when his opponent cannot even recognise the existence of a problem.
I have already written that 2020 reminds me a lot of 1984. However, in 1984 the Democrat convention injected energy and optimism in Mondale’s campaign. In 2020, the endless litany of bitter whiners and assorted losers not only fails to energise the base, but causes more controversy (5 minutes for Uber loser Kasich, whom most Dems hate; 90 seconds for AOC, whom most Dems hate, too).
It was embarrassing. It was like the high school losers and whiners staging a play in which they express their hate for the overachievers and the cool kids. I am, actually, sad that this has ended.
We will now see what the Republicans do. But seriously, the bar now is almost as low as the one concerning Joe Biden.
The picture above tells you everything you need to know about the pathetic Democratic ticket for the 2020 Presidential election.
They represent a particular America. This is the America of fear, made of those who cower in their basement (as Biden himself does), who are literally afraid of the air they breathe, and who are very happy that an all-powerful, all-regulating Government (local and federal) tells them in minute detail what to do with their lives. This is the America of laziness, too; a Country where too many just don’t want to go back to work, or want to have a convenient home-office life without any regard for the damage this causes not only to their pupils, but to the finances of their pupils’ parents. Who knows, by the way, how many are using furlough money to travel to Portland or Seattle and wreak havoc with their Country.
Please compare with this:
This is President Donald Trump during one of his many press conferences. Positive, unafraid, optimistic, clearly and pointedly not masked, and so darn manly he makes the two masked, scared kitten above simply disappear.
There is an obvious message being sent by both camps. The Democrat message is: “be as afraid as we are”. Trump’s message is: “be as strong, as courageous, and as unashamedly American as I am”.
Somehow, I can’t imagine the West being won wearing those masks. However, I can well picture Trump on a horse, with his trusted Colt pistol and his Winchester lever gun, working as a sheriff in some dangerous parts, and being very good at it.
The American people may not formulate their thinking in this way. However they, I am sure, perceive this all too well. Besides the daily squabbles, they can clearly see fear on one side and rugged manliness on the other.
Lesbians, Homos, losers, liberal nutcases, champagne-sipping journos and assorted soy boys will like the first image. The vast majority of the Country will prefer to identify with the second one.
Fear is a losing proposition for an additional reason: it will be difficult to maintain a climate of Global Scare until November. When the Dems, invariably, try, they will look like scared kitten, and like liars to booth, even more than they do today.
Trump is doing so fine it is almost scary.
At this point, the biggest danger is complacency.
Thankfully, I never had Dementia. But I am told that one of its symptoms are, among the obvious ones, sudden burst of aggression. We all remember the “lying, dog-faced pony soldier” months ago; then came the offer to that worker to fight with him, and now the aggressive outburst at a journalist for simply asking what is in the mind of absolutely everyone and his dog these days.
Even by doing that, Biden is showing signs that not everybody is right. He struggles to form words, and this is when he is lucid and has not forgotten that he is running for President.
I would like to say that he lied when he said he had taken cognitive tests when he hasn’t. Not saying the guy is not a great liar. Bot I honestly think he might have forgotten what he has done two weeks or a month ago.
The hard line losers obviously protect him as, predictably, Juan Williams does in this clip. Frankly, at this point, and accustomed to lying in the face of evidence, there is nothing else they can do. The only way out now is to get to the appointment of a VP viable as a credible Presidential candidate – means: no tribalism anymore; no BVWSG*, LGBTQ, or other alphabet salad) – like Doug Jones, or Kristen Sinema, and then gradually but surely put this VP front and centre in the campaign, making clear enough to the voters that they are picking the VP for President. Of course, this is fraught with issues (it should be Bernie, of course; and if it is anybody else, where does his legitimacy come from?). But it allows them to lose with dignity rather than to lose with ignominy.
I dare to think that this is one of the reasons why the appointment of the aspiring VP has not happened yet. With a stable candidate, they could have (in theory) allowed themselves the luxury of a “fringe” VP, meant to capture “certain” votes of some tribe they deem important. But you simply can’t run with a ticket consisting in a demented man and an extremist leftist woman.
Biden will not improve in the next months, and even my cat knows it. He will have moments of lucidity alternating with moments of anger, or of simple mental confusion. There is no way he can stand three long debates against Trump in his condition.
The original sin of the Dems was to allow Bernie to run, though he is an Independent. But hey, they wanted to be inclusive and avoid the internal squabbles. Then they had to shut down the other (mediocre) candidates just to avoid Bernie getting the nomination. At that point they were left with a Creepy Joe already in the process of transforming himself into Dementia Joe.
They are very lucky that the Chinese Virus allowed them to hide their candidate in his basement, but you can’t win a Presidential race from the basement. Those leftists fake journos praising his “brilliant” campaign consisting in just not showing up unwittingly admit that, if you are in his condition, the most brilliant thing to do is to stay in your basement.
Think of any other politician saying to a journalist: “Are you a junkie?” in response to the journalist posing the only question this politician knows he will, without fail, ask. It truly is beyond belief that a politician of almost 50 years, accustomed to all sorts of slick answers, would answer the question in this way.
Unless, that is, this politician’s brain is slowly, but surely, taking his leave whilst we watch.
*Black Vagina With Social Grievances