Alabama: An Autopsy
The narrow, but clear defeat in Alabama forces yours truly to write a couple of considerations about how this could happen. I see, in the main, four causes (actually three and a half), which I will proceed to explain in order or importance.
1. The Sanctimonious Judases
Slandering a candidate with baseless accusations has evidently paid. Hundreds of thousands of white conservative voters thought it better to stay home as their precious feelings were hurt by fake accusations of alleged behaviour of more than 40 years ago. It really speaks against universal suffrage that so many would be so dumb.
With an extremely important seat in play for tax reform, judicial appointments, the Wall and the killing of Obamacare, they have chosen to feel good with themselves instead. I hope their Obamacare premiums will skyrocket next year, the year thereafter and in 2020 before (as I understand) the seat last won by Sessions in 2014 becomes available again. Also, pretty likely, no tax cuts. One can hope this is still not the end of sensible judicial appointments (Gorsuch was appointed with the vote of several Democratic Senators), but it does not make future appointments easier for sure. Congratulations, you idiots.
The lesson to be drawn here is one I have already mentioned in the past: if your candidate promises to be a solid, dependable pro-life, pro-Trump, pro-Wall candidate in 2018 you vote for him even if he used to be a Black Panther member in 1972. It beggars belief that the slaughter on one million children a year should not be made one step nearer to termination because of – in this case: alleged; but it's truly not relevant – the desire of people who profess to be conservative and pro-life to feel good with themselves.
If Moore had been elected it would have been a win-win. Either he is investigated or not. If he is investigated and removed, there is all the time to find a suitable replacement. The seat remains Republican at all times. Now the seat is occupied by a chap who wants the right to abortion up to the moment of birth, a position more extreme than even Planned Parenthood's.
Again: congratulations, you idiots. May God forgive you.
I am not sure He will.
2. The Republican Establishment
Not much to say on this. The obscene spectacle of the top ranks amongs Senate Republicans asking for Moore to stand aside – before tepidly supporting him, the cowardly mongrels, when it looked likely he would win – makes clear once again that Mitch McConnell & Co. are the enemy number one of the pro-life, pro-2nd amendment, pro-tax reform, pro-wall, anti-Obamacare agenda. They do not care how much losses it costs if it helps them to expunge Trump from their ranks. McConnell is working for the opposition day in and day out. He should be the first to be made to go, then he has not only managed to lose twice, but he plans to lose whenever a victory would benefit Trump. The so-called GOP is infested by little Grima Wormtongues, working for the enemy with a brazenness I have never seen in Italy, Germany, or England.
3. Donald Trump
Like McConnell, Trump has lost twice. In his case, he has lost because he wanted to be prudent, and has tried to play Machiavelli : if Moore wins, I have supported him; if he loses, I will say Luther Strange would have been the right pick.
This is a very dangerous game, because Trump will now find it more difficult to push his agenda in the Senate. The very narrow defeat makes the wound more painful.
Trump should have travelled to Alabama several times, and he should have thrown his considerable popularity in the game, instead of limiting himself to a handful of tweets and statements. He should have been photographed with Moore for all the planet to see, causing Democratic outrage and a huge Wave Of Deplorables. He should have considered this the priority number one of his work in the weeks leading to the election. He should have campaigned for him with the message that it is important to keep the Senate inRepublican hands, and any – improbable – ground for resignation can be handled later. His support for Moore was clear, but not enthusiastic. Not anywhere near a Trump Train.
Trump's victory in 2016 does not mean that the game is won. The mobilisation must be pursued again and again. It beggars belief that the Democrats could get the Black vote out in record numbers, whilst the Deplorables stayed home. It is necessary to awaken the same spirit of 2016 every single time, and Trump must be a vital part of it.
3.5 Roy Moore
One does not really want to blame the guy for being himself. But I read things that I thought were from another century, like his dislike for big TV campaigns and massive spending, as if he would win just because he prays. Ground game and TV campaigns are important, and they cost a lot of money. It is neither dirty nor dishonourable to use them. God helps those who help themselves.
This is a blow, but not a KO. However, the failure to energise the voters in November 2018 could end up with Trump losing both House and Senate, just – if memory serves – like Clinton in 1994. The Democrats have a far better ground game, and without a great Deplorables' Rise next year this will have a great impact on the final result.
Next year's battle must be on two fronts: the Primaries to weed out as many RINOs as reasonably practicable, and the elections to keep both House and Senate in Republican hands and the least possible number of RINOs.
This was a blow, but I would still not want to be the other side. However, it goes to show how easy it is to squander even the most beautiful of pacific popular uprisings.